Philadelphia Phillies: Cliff Lee and His Self-Win Against the Dodgers

Well, obviously there’s no such thing, unless you’re Satchel Paige. 

But Cliff Lee came pretty close last night, going eight shutout innings, fanning 10 while scattering just four hits and walking two in the Philadelphia Phillies‘ 2-1 victory over the Los Angeles Dodgers in Los Angeles. 

He also hit a solo home run. In other words, Lee did better against a rock-solid Ted Lilly than the Dodgers offense, which includes some professional hitters (and an MVP candidate) did against Lee.

There have been 20 other instances of a pitcher homering this season, including another one by Lee himself.  Here are the best pitching performances by homering pitchers:

Player	Team	Opponent	Date	IP	H	ER	K/BB
Cliff Lee	Phillies	Dodgers	Aug 9	8	4	0	10/2
Daniel Hudson	DBacks	Dodgers	Jul 17	9	5	1	3/0
Tim Hudson	Braves	Blue Jays	Jun 20	8	2	0	8/1
Zach Duke	Dbacks	Astros	May 28	7	3	0	4/1

So, I guess when Win/Loss record and run support comes up in Cy Young discussions, old school writers should just point to these guys and ask what they were complaining about.

Unfortunately for Felix Hernandez—who should really bat about third in the Mariners’ lineup—homering is not an option afforded to American League pitchers most of the time. 

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MLB Trade Deadline: Phillies Overpaid for Hunter Pence

In 2010 Hunter Pence must have hit .345 with 43 home runs, 52 doubles, 125 walks, and 173 RBI.

He also must have sucker punched the official scorer’s child.

Otherwise, it would be hard to explain why the Philadelphia Phillies (along with some other teams) were so intent on acquiring him.

The Phillies committed four prospects to acquire the former Houston Astros right fielder, including pitcher Jarred Cosart and first baseman Jonathon Singleton, the 70th and 39th ranked prospects in the country according to Baseball America (pre-2011).

Now, Hunter Pence is a very solid player. He is above-average at every aspect of his game, except for patience.

And, in defense of Phillies general manager Ruben Amaro Jr., Pence represents a significant upgrade over 23-year-old rookie Domonic Brown and is under team control through 2013.

But for two top prospects, as well as two additional prospects, the impact of a new player needs to be absolutely huge, such as transforming a borderline contender to a playoff team.

The Milwaukee Brewers’ 2008 trade to acquire CC Sabathia in exchange for top prospects Matt LaPorta, Zach Jackson, and Michael Brantley is a great example of this. The Brewers were in the hunt and would have been on the outside looking in if Sabathia hadn’t come to Milwaukee and gone 11-2 with a 1.60 ERA in 17 starts.

Upgrading right field in Philadelphia will not have that big of an impact —at least not in 2011.

The Phillies are already the best team in the National League. They’re already the odds-on favorite to win the World Series.

Unless Cole Hamels and Cliff Lee break each other’s left thumbs in a pregame arm-wrestling match, the Phillies will have home field advantage throughout the playoffs.

This trade doesn’t substantially change the likelihood of anything that could be influenced by the regular season.

Once you just get into the playoffs, anything can happen. Your odds of winning it all —whether you’re the 2001 Seattle Mariners or the 2006 St. Louis Cardinals —are basically one in eight, whether your right fielder is an established big leaguer or a roughly league-average rookie.

In a small enough sample of five or seven games, anything can happen. Alex Rodriguez can go 1-for-14. Chad Ogea can pitch like Cy Young.

That’s what makes October so great.

If the Phillies don’t win it all, it won’t have anything to do with any lack of production they might get from right field, but rather it will mean that their star-studded rotation imploded and Rollins, Victorino, Utley, and Howard all struggled mightily.

Look at the player they acquired to upgrade their outfield. Really look at him. This isn’t a big-time game changer.

This is Hunter Pence.

Pence owns a career on-base percentage of .339, one point lower than that of the immortal Roger Cedeno. In three full seasons, Pence has not eclipsed a .500 slugging percentage.

He’s a good player. He’s not a game-changer.

You don’t trade top prospects for the Hyundai Elentra of ballplayers. 

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Philadelphia Phillies: The Best Seasons in Franchise History

The Philadelphia Phillies continue my series whereby I compose a 25-man roster of the best seasons in franchise history. Despite being one of baseball’s oldest teams, the Philadelphia Phillies were wildly unsuccessful for the vast majority of their history, not winning a World Series until 1980 and only recently becoming a power-house in the National League with four division titles, two pennants, and a world title in the last four years. Because of this, many of these seasons are very recent. 

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